TheMongolz’s poor map pool against top-tier teams like Spirit, particularly on Mirage and Inferno, raises immediate concerns about their chances in this matchup. In recent encounters, they have struggled to maintain a positive winrate on these maps, which could be a significant factor given Spirit's proficiency on them.

TheMongolz have had a mixed run in their recent matches, showing flashes of potential but ultimately falling short against more structured teams. Their last five games show a 2-3 record, with key players like 'ncl' and 's0m' underperforming at critical junctures. Spirit, on the other hand, comes in with a 4-1 record over their last five, showcasing a solid synergy and the consistent fragging power of their star player, 'yeki'. The difference in form and confidence is palpable, and this could heavily influence the outcome.

In terms of drafting, Spirit has a deeper hero pool and better tactical options. TheMongolz tend to rely heavily on aggressive plays, but this can be countered by Spirit's disciplined defensive setups. Spirit’s ability to adapt their strategies mid-game, especially on maps like Overpass, gives them a tactical edge. Expect Spirit to exploit TheMongolz’s weaker map choices, forcing them into uncomfortable positions.